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HMC Capital Limited

HMC.AX
45
Real Estate - Development · Real Estate
Price
A$2.94
-0.06 (-2.00%)
Market Cap
A$1.21B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
45
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Good
Valuation
Data not available
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+47.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 273.2M (2021) → 403.5M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

HMC Capital is an Australian alternative asset manager that invests in and manages real estate and private credit on behalf of institutional and retail investors. Its main business lines include large-format retail properties, data centres, and private lending, with tenants and borrowers ranging from big retailers to property developers. The company is listed on the Australian Securities Exchange and has been expanding beyond traditional property into higher-growth alternative asset classes.

HMC Capital earns money through management fees charged to the funds it runs, as well as performance fees and income from its own investments alongside clients. It operates primarily in Australia and manages several listed and unlisted funds, giving it a recurring fee base that explains its very high gross margins. The key growth driver is its push into data centres and private credit, which are faster-growing markets than traditional retail property, though rapid expansion into new asset classes carries execution risk and increases reliance on continued investor appetite for its funds.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+76.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-133.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

A$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

37.7%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

A$1.7B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

HMC Capital Limited grew revenue 76% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
99.0%
Premium pricing power — 99.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
32.7%
Excellent — 32.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
3.6%
Weak — 3.6% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+1.4%
Nearly flat sales (+1.4% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-101.1%
Earnings shrinking (-101.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
5.8%
Thin free cash flow (5.8%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.31
Conservative — low debt load (0.31)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.30x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
4.08%
Healthy income — 4.08% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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