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Holmen AB

HOLM-B.ST
45
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Exchange
Stockholm Stock Exchange
Winston Score
45
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Strong

Winston Score History

The full picture

Holmen AB is a Swedish forest products company that owns large areas of forest in Sweden and uses that timber to make paper, paperboard, and wood products. Its main products include newsprint paper, cartonboard used in food packaging, and sawn timber sold to construction and furniture companies. Holmen is one of the larger forest owners in Sweden, which gives it direct control over a key raw material.

The company earns revenue by selling these physical goods to manufacturers, publishers, and builders mostly across Europe. Holmen operates several mills and processing facilities in Sweden and has a relatively small international footprint compared to global paper giants. Its ownership of roughly one million hectares of forest is its main competitive advantage, since it reduces dependence on outside timber suppliers. The key risk is that demand for newsprint continues to fall as print media declines, while its packaging and wood segments must grow fast enough to offset that pressure.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
-0.7%
Thin — -0.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
7.2%
Modest — 7.2% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
3.5%
Weak — 3.5% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-4.7%
Shrinking sales (-4.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+0.8%
Flat earnings

Single-digit earnings growth — steady but not exciting.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
130%
Turns 130% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
8.7%
Modest free cash flow (8.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.13
Conservative — low debt load (0.13)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
12.90x
Comfortably covers interest (12.9x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
17.7x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 17.7

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-1.8
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.89%
no trend
Moderate income — 2.89% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+50.8%
no trend
Dividend growing fast (50.8% YoY)

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