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Horizon Oil Limited

HZN.AX
45
Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy
Price
A$0.24
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
A$425.9M
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
45
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Horizon Oil Limited is an Australian oil and gas company that finds and produces crude oil and natural gas. Its main operations are in Papua New Guinea and China, where it holds stakes in producing fields and sells the oil it extracts to refiners and energy buyers. The company is a small independent producer, meaning it does not refine or sell fuel directly to consumers.

Horizon makes money by selling crude oil and gas at market prices, so its revenue rises and falls with global oil prices. It operates across two regions — Papua New Guinea is its core growth area, where it has been developing the Stanley gas project and related fields. The company is small, with a market cap around $400 million, and its main competitive edge is its established licenses in PNG, where new entrants face high barriers. The biggest risk the business faces is its heavy exposure to oil price swings and the execution challenges of developing projects in a remote, logistically difficult country.

Share count broadly stable

0.5% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.63B (2021) → 1.63B (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
16.2%
Thin — 16.2% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
11.3%
Modest — 11.3% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
13.9%
Good — 13.9% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-4.8%
Shrinking sales (-4.8% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-41.4%
Earnings shrinking (-41.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
539%
Turns 539% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
32.3%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (32.3%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.86
Moderate — manageable debt (0.86)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.87x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.9x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
47.1x
Expensive — P/E 47.1

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+38.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (47.1 → 8.9)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
13.64%
Healthy income — 13.64% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-29.2%
Dividend cut (-29.2% YoY) — warning sign

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