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Hub Group

HUBG
34
Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
34
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Sep 30, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Weak

Winston Score History

The full picture

Hub Group is a freight transportation and logistics company based in the United States. It helps businesses move goods across the country by combining truck and rail shipping — a method called intermodal transportation. Its customers include retailers, manufacturers, and consumer goods companies that need to ship large amounts of products efficiently.

Hub Group makes money by charging fees to move freight and manage supply chains for its clients. It operates almost entirely in North America, with a network of trucks, rail partnerships, and logistics technology. The company's main competitive edge is its established relationships with major railroads like Union Pacific and BNSF, which gives it access to rail capacity that smaller competitors cannot easily replicate. However, Hub Group faces real risk from freight market cycles — when shipping demand drops, pricing pressure squeezes margins quickly, as seen in the freight downturn of recent years. A recovery in freight volumes and continued growth in its managed logistics segment are the key factors to watch.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-5.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+23.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady EPS growth

Insider Activity

3.0%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$140M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Hub Group's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
4.2%
Thin — 4.2% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
4.2%
Thin — 4.2% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
7.3%
Weak — 7.3% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-5.8%
Shrinking sales (-5.8% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-1.7%
Earnings shrinking (-1.7% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
153%
Turns 153% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
3.0%
Thin free cash flow (3.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.15
Conservative — low debt load (0.15)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
11.22x
Comfortably covers interest (11.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
23.3x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 23.3

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.1
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.07%
no trend
Small dividend — 1.07% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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