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International Paper Company

IP
22
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Price
$41.49
+1.13 (+2.80%)
Market Cap
$21.97B
Winston Score
22
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Data not available
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+34.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 392.4M (2021) → 528.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

International Paper makes cardboard boxes and paper packaging. It sells corrugated containers — the brown boxes used to ship products — to manufacturers, retailers, and e-commerce companies across many industries. It is one of the largest packaging companies in the world and recently completed a major acquisition of DS Smith, a European packaging company.

International Paper earns revenue by selling packaging products directly to businesses, not consumers. It operates primarily in North America and Europe, with the DS Smith deal significantly expanding its European footprint. The company's scale and long-term customer contracts provide some competitive stability, but it faces real pressure from high raw material costs, energy prices, and debt taken on to fund the DS Smith acquisition — factors that help explain its current negative operating and return margins. Integrating DS Smith while managing that debt load is the central challenge the company faces in the near term.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-11.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-114.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.6%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$3.1B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

International Paper Company's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
27.6%
Modest — 27.6% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
0.7%
Thin — 0.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-11.7%
Weak — -11.7% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+10.3%
Steady sales growth (+10.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
2.0%
Thin free cash flow (2.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.64
Moderate — manageable debt (0.64)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
4.54%
Healthy income — 4.54% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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