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Keyera

KEY.TO
34
Oil & Gas Midstream · Energy
Price
C$58.71
-0.83 (-1.39%)
Market Cap
C$13.46B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
34
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+3.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 221.0M (2021) → 229.2M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Keyera Corp. is a Canadian midstream energy company that sits between oil and gas producers and end customers. It collects, processes, and transports natural gas and natural gas liquids — things like propane and butane — mainly across Alberta and British Columbia. It also stores and sells these liquids to industrial buyers and refiners across North America.

Keyera makes money by charging fees to energy producers who use its pipelines, processing plants, and storage facilities. A large portion of its revenue comes from long-term, fee-based contracts, which gives it relatively stable cash flow compared to companies that depend on commodity prices. It operates one of the larger integrated liquids infrastructure networks in western Canada, which is hard and expensive for competitors to replicate. The main risk is that its growth depends on continued producer activity in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, which can slow down if oil and gas prices fall for an extended period.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
15.5%
Thin — 15.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
12.1%
Healthy — 12.1% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
6.1%
Weak — 6.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-0.9%
Shrinking sales (-0.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-38.8%
Earnings shrinking (-38.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
132%
Turns 132% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-1.2%
Burning cash (-1.2%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.54
Elevated debt (1.54)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
2.32x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.3x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
41.3x
Pricey — P/E 41.3

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+23.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (41.3 → 17.5)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.78%
Moderate income — 3.78% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+3.8%
Dividend growing modestly (3.8% YoY)

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