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Lennox International

LII
61
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
$402.87
-3.18 (-0.78%)
Market Cap
$13.92B
Winston Score
61
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

6.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 37.5M (2021) → 35.1M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Lennox International makes heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) equipment — the systems that keep homes and buildings warm in winter and cool in summer. Its main products include furnaces, air conditioners, and heat pumps sold under the Lennox, Ducane, and Allied Air brands. The company sells primarily to residential homeowners and commercial buildings across North America.

Lennox earns money by selling HVAC equipment and replacement parts through a network of dealers and distributors. Most of its revenue comes from the United States, and the large installed base of existing Lennox systems creates a steady stream of repair and replacement sales that competitors find hard to disrupt. A key growth driver is the ongoing regulatory shift toward higher-efficiency and heat pump systems, which forces homeowners to upgrade older equipment — but rising interest rates and a slowdown in new home construction could reduce demand for new installations in the near term.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
34.9%
Modest — 34.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
23.0%
Excellent — 23.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
35.7%
Exceptional — 35.7% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-2.1%
Shrinking sales (-2.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-5.7%
Earnings shrinking (-5.7% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
116%
Turns 116% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
13.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (13.9%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.22
Elevated debt (1.22)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
18.24x
Comfortably covers interest (18.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
18.2x
Fair value — P/E 18.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+3.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (18.2 → 14.5)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.26%
Small dividend — 1.26% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+10.7%
Dividend growing fast (10.7% YoY)

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