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Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

LPX
36
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Basic Materials
Price
$73.18
-0.57 (-0.77%)
Market Cap
$5.11B
Winston Score
36
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Share count falling — buybacks

28.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 98.0M (2021) → 70.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation makes building materials used to construct and repair homes. Its main products include oriented strand board (OSB), which is a type of engineered wood panel used in walls, floors, and roofs, as well as siding and trim products sold under the LP SmartSide brand. The company sells primarily to homebuilders, contractors, and building supply distributors across North America.

Louisiana-Pacific earns revenue by manufacturing and selling these wood-based building products, with pricing tied closely to commodity lumber and OSB market rates. The company operates mills mainly in the United States and Canada, with some presence in South America, and generates roughly $3 billion in annual revenue. LP SmartSide siding is a growing, higher-margin segment that provides some insulation from volatile OSB commodity prices, but the company's overall performance remains heavily dependent on new home construction activity — meaning a slowdown in housing starts is the primary risk to its business.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
17.5%
Thin — 17.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
4.7%
Thin — 4.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.4%
Weak — 4.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-14.3%
Shrinking sales (-14.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-81.4%
Earnings shrinking (-81.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
1/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
481%
Turns 481% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-0.8%
Burning cash (-0.8%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.20
Conservative — low debt load (0.20)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
10.22x
Comfortably covers interest (10.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
92.6x
Expensive — P/E 92.6

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+48.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (92.6 → 44.4)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.51%
Small dividend — 1.51% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+7.3%
Dividend growing modestly (7.3% YoY)

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