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Lamb Weston Holdings

LW
34
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Price
$53.68
+0.21 (+0.39%)
Market Cap
$7.38B
Winston Score
34
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through May 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Mixed

Share count falling — buybacks

4.7% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 145.9M (2022) → 139.1M (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Lamb Weston makes frozen potato products — mainly french fries, but also potato wedges, hash browns, and other potato-based foods. Its customers are restaurants, fast food chains, and food service companies around the world, including major chains like McDonald's. It is one of the largest frozen potato producers in North America.

The company sells its products directly to restaurants and through food distributors, earning revenue each time a customer places an order. Lamb Weston operates primarily in North America but also sells internationally, with a growing presence in Europe and Asia. Its scale and long-term contracts with large restaurant chains give it a degree of pricing stability, but the business is exposed to potato crop prices and input costs like oil and energy, which can squeeze margins — and with gross margins already under 21%, any cost pressure is a meaningful risk to profitability.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+5.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-5.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.0%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~6 months

$68M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Lamb Weston Holdings has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
20.4%
Thin — 20.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
9.5%
Modest — 9.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
10.3%
Below par — 10.3% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+2.5%
Nearly flat sales (+2.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-16.7%
Earnings shrinking (-16.7% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
358%
Turns 358% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
9.6%
Modest free cash flow (9.6%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
2.15
Heavy debt load (2.15)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.27x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
25.6x
Growth-priced — P/E 25.6

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+10.1
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (25.6 → 15.5)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.85%
Moderate income — 2.85% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+2.7%
Dividend flat

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