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Lynas Rare Earths Limited

LYC.AX
57
Industrial Materials · Basic Materials
Also trades as: LYSDY · LYSCF
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
57
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Lynas Rare Earths is a mining and processing company that digs up rare earth minerals and turns them into refined materials used in electric vehicle motors, wind turbines, and consumer electronics. Its main products are neodymium and praseodymium, which are used to make powerful permanent magnets. Lynas is the largest rare earths producer outside of China, which makes it strategically important to countries like the United States, Japan, and Australia.

The company earns money by selling refined rare earth materials to manufacturers, mostly in Japan and other parts of Asia, with growing interest from the United States. Lynas operates a mine in Western Australia and a processing facility in Malaysia, and it is building new processing capacity in Australia and the US with government support. Its biggest competitive advantage is simply being one of the few non-Chinese suppliers of these critical materials, but its main risk is that rare earth prices can fall sharply, which squeezes profit margins quickly.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+32.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

-95.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

11.3%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~7 months

A$264M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Revenue accelerating

Lynas Rare Earths Limited grew revenue 32% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
28.2%
Modest — 28.2% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
19.5%
Healthy — 19.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
2.4%
Weak — 2.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+48.3%
Fast-growing sales (+48.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+55.1%
Earnings growing fast (+55.1% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
174%
Turns 174% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-2.9%
Burning cash (-2.9%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.06
Conservative — low debt load (0.06)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
15.55x
Comfortably covers interest (15.6x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
192.5x
no trend
Expensive — P/E 192.5

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+174.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (192.5 → 18.3)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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