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Macfarlane Group

MACF.L
49
Packaging & Containers · Consumer Cyclical
Price
71.50 GBp
-1.40 (-1.92%)
Market Cap
£111.0M
Exchange
London Stock Exchange
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Exceptional

Winston Score History

The full picture

Macfarlane Group is a UK-based company that sources and sells protective packaging materials to businesses. Its core products include bubble wrap, foam, boxes, and custom-designed packaging used to protect goods during shipping and storage. The company serves a wide range of customers, including manufacturers, e-commerce retailers, and distributors across many industries.

Macfarlane makes money by buying packaging from manufacturers and reselling it to business customers at a markup, acting as a distributor rather than a factory. It also offers packaging design and labeling services, which add a small amount of extra value. The company operates almost entirely in the UK and has a market cap of around £100 million, making it a small player in a fragmented industry. Its main competitive edge is its long customer relationships and ability to source a wide variety of products from many suppliers. The key risk is that rising input costs and competition from larger distributors or direct-from-manufacturer buying could squeeze its already thin operating margins.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+9.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-67.9% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

£0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

3.6%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

£14M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Macfarlane Group is growing revenue at 10% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

0.5% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 159.4M (2021) → 158.6M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
36.8%
Modest — 36.8% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
3.5%
Thin — 3.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
8.3%
Below par — 8.3% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+11.2%
Steady sales growth (+11.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-59.1%
Earnings shrinking (-59.1% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
392%
Turns 392% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
6.7%
Modest free cash flow (6.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.25
Conservative — low debt load (0.25)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
2.69x
Tight — interest eats into profit (2.7x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
17.9x
Fair value — P/E 17.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+8.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (17.9 → 9.3)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
5.12%
Healthy income — 5.12% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+37.2%
Dividend growing fast (37.2% YoY)

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