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Mainfreight Limited

MFGHF
52
Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials
Price
$40.61
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
$4.09B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
52
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Mainfreight Limited is a New Zealand-based freight and logistics company that moves goods for businesses across land, sea, and air. Its core services include road transport, warehousing, and international freight forwarding, serving customers in industries like retail, manufacturing, and food production. Founded in 1978, it has grown from a small New Zealand trucking company into one of the Southern Hemisphere's largest integrated logistics providers.

Mainfreight earns revenue by charging fees for transporting and storing goods, with pricing tied to shipment volume, weight, and distance. It operates across New Zealand, Australia, Europe, the Americas, and Asia, giving it a broad global footprint for a company of its size. Its competitive edge comes from a strong company culture, decentralized management, and long-term customer relationships built over decades. The key growth driver is continued expansion in Europe and the Americas, while its main risk is exposure to slowing global trade volumes, which directly reduce demand for freight services.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+4.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-0.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

NZ$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

19.9%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

NZ$164M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Mainfreight Limited is growing revenue at 5% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

0.0% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 100.7M (2022) → 100.7M (2026)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
16.8%
Thin — 16.8% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
9.0%
Modest — 9.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
16.3%
Strong — 16.3% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+3.0%
Nearly flat sales (+3.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-8.1%
Earnings shrinking (-8.1% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
235%
Turns 235% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
7.7%
Modest free cash flow (7.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.17
Conservative — low debt load (0.17)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
7.02x
Adequate interest coverage (7.0x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
27.3x
Growth-priced — P/E 27.3

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+8.8
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (27.3 → 18.5)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
4.24%
Healthy income — 4.24% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-6.5%
Dividend cut (-6.5% YoY) — warning sign

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