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MDA Space

MDA
38
Aerospace & Defense · Industrials
Price
$30.92
-0.33 (-1.06%)
Market Cap
$5.01B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
38
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+9.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 118.7M (2021) → 129.7M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

MDA Space Ltd is a Canadian company that builds hardware and technology for the space industry. Its main products include satellite systems, robotic arms, and Earth observation equipment. MDA is best known for building the Canadarm robotic arms used on the International Space Station, making it one of Canada's most recognized space technology companies.

MDA earns revenue by selling hardware, systems, and engineering services to government space agencies and commercial satellite operators. The company operates primarily in Canada but serves customers globally, including NASA, the Canadian Space Agency, and private satellite companies. Its long history with government space programs gives it a strong reputation and recurring contract relationships. The key growth driver is the rapid expansion of commercial satellite constellations — MDA has a large contract to build hundreds of satellites for Telesat's Lightspeed network — but execution risk on large, complex contracts remains a meaningful challenge for the business.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+28.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

-12.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$60M/ year

Rising (+9% vs prior year)

5.1% of revenue

In line with sector average (4%)

R&D investment increasing — building for the future

Insider Activity

9.0%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~8 months

$287M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Strong grower

MDA Space is growing revenue at 28% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
18.9%
Thin — 18.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
4.5%
Thin — 4.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
4.9%
Weak — 4.9% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+38.7%
Fast-growing sales (+38.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-11.9%
Earnings shrinking (-11.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
55%
Weak — only 55% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-8.0%
Burning cash (-8.0%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.14
Conservative — low debt load (0.14)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
5.10x
Adequate interest coverage (5.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
52.4x
Expensive — P/E 52.4

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+28.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (52.4 → 23.9)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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