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Mercury NZ Limited

MCY.AX
54
Renewable Utilities · Utilities
Price
A$5.93
+0.08 (+1.37%)
Market Cap
A$8.41B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Share count rising — dilution

+3.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.37B (2022) → 1.42B (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Mercury NZ Limited is a New Zealand energy company that generates and sells electricity. It owns and operates a large network of hydroelectric and geothermal power stations, making it one of New Zealand's biggest renewable electricity generators. The company sells power directly to homes, businesses, and farms across New Zealand under the Mercury brand.

Mercury makes money by generating electricity and selling it to retail customers through fixed and variable-rate energy plans. It operates entirely within New Zealand and serves roughly 400,000 customers, giving it a meaningful share of the country's retail electricity market. Its geothermal assets are a key competitive advantage because they produce low-cost, reliable power that is difficult for competitors to replicate. The main risk is that New Zealand's hydro generation depends heavily on rainfall, meaning dry years can reduce output and squeeze margins, while the company's growth outlook is tied to rising electricity demand from electric vehicles and broader electrification of the economy.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
28.3%
Modest — 28.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
21.3%
Excellent — 21.3% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
9.1%
Below par — 9.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-7.9%
Shrinking sales (-7.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
>+1,000%
Earnings growing fast (>+1,000% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
243%
Turns 243% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
3.3%
Thin free cash flow (3.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.45
Conservative — low debt load (0.45)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
7.13x
Adequate interest coverage (7.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
26.5x
Growth-priced — P/E 26.5

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+3.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (26.5 → 23.3)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.88%
Moderate income — 3.88% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-24.9%
Dividend cut (-24.9% YoY) — warning sign

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