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Meritage Homes Corporation

MTH
42
Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$71.68
+0.63 (+0.89%)
Market Cap
$4.78B
Winston Score
42
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Share count falling — buybacks

7.4% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 76.5M (2021) → 70.8M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Meritage Homes builds and sells new single-family homes across the United States. The company targets first-time buyers and first move-up buyers, offering homes in planned communities mostly in the Sun Belt states like Texas, Florida, Arizona, and the Carolinas. It is one of the ten largest homebuilders in the country by volume.

Meritage makes money by selling completed homes, typically priced in the entry-level to mid-range segment. The company has leaned heavily into energy-efficient, move-in-ready homes, which helps attract budget-conscious buyers and reduces the time homes sit unsold. Its focus on the Sun Belt gives it exposure to some of the fastest-growing population centers in the country, but the business is sensitive to mortgage interest rates — when rates rise, fewer people can afford to buy, which directly pressures sales volume and pricing power.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
22.3%
Thin — 22.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
12.5%
Healthy — 12.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
6.6%
Weak — 6.6% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-12.3%
Shrinking sales (-12.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-45.8%
Earnings shrinking (-45.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
133%
Turns 133% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
7.6%
Modest free cash flow (7.6%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.37
Conservative — low debt load (0.37)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
164.31x
Comfortably covers interest (164.3x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
14.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 14.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.4
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.52%
Moderate income — 2.52% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-22.9%
Dividend cut (-22.9% YoY) — warning sign

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