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Metcash Limited

MTS.AX
38
Food Distribution · Consumer Defensive
Price
A$2.98
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
A$3.28B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
38
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Apr 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+12.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 986.2M (2022) → 1.10B (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Metcash is an Australian wholesale distributor that supplies groceries, liquor, and hardware products to independent retailers across Australia and New Zealand. It operates three main divisions: food (supplying IGA supermarkets), liquor (supplying bottle shops under brands like Cellarbrations and The Bottle-O), and hardware (supplying independent stores under the Total Tools and Mitre 10 banners). It is the largest supplier to independent supermarkets in Australia.

Metcash makes money by buying products in bulk from manufacturers and selling them to thousands of small, independently owned stores that rely on Metcash's supply chain and logistics network. The company operates almost entirely in Australia and New Zealand and generates roughly $18 billion in annual sales revenue. Its main competitive advantage is the scale and cost efficiency it offers to independent retailers who could not negotiate similar supplier deals on their own. The key risk is ongoing pressure from large supermarket chains like Woolworths and Coles, which continue to compete directly against the independent stores Metcash supplies.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+0.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-7.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

A$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

6.0%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

A$390M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Metcash Limited is growing revenue at 0% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
4.9%
Thin — 4.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
2.8%
Thin — 2.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
18.1%
Strong — 18.1% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+0.2%
Nearly flat sales (+0.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-3.8%
Earnings shrinking (-3.8% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
200%
Turns 200% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
2.2%
Thin free cash flow (2.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.51
Conservative — low debt load (0.51)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
4.12x
Adequate interest coverage (4.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.9x
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.9

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.1
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
6.38%
Healthy income — 6.38% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-14.3%
Dividend cut (-14.3% YoY) — warning sign

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