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Methanex Corporation

MX.TO
54
Chemicals · Basic Materials
Price
C$82.86
+1.76 (+2.17%)
Market Cap
C$6.41B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Weak

Share count falling — buybacks

4.8% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 76.2M (2021) → 72.6M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Methanex is the world's largest producer and supplier of methanol, a simple chemical liquid made from natural gas. Methanol is used to make plastics, paints, adhesives, and fuels, and Methanex sells it to chemical companies, fuel blenders, and industrial manufacturers around the world. The company owns and operates production plants across multiple continents, including facilities in Canada, Chile, New Zealand, Egypt, and Trinidad.

Methanex makes money by producing methanol at its plants and selling it at market prices, which means revenue rises and falls with the global methanol price. The company operates globally and is large enough that it can move product between regions to meet demand, giving it a scale advantage over smaller rivals. The biggest risk the business faces is that methanol prices are tied to natural gas costs and global chemical demand, both of which can swing sharply, making earnings unpredictable from year to year.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+75.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+169.5% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

4.1%ownership

Declining

Insider ownership declining — could be dilution or selling

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$793M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Methanex Corporation grew revenue 75% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
45.7%
Healthy — 45.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
35.3%
Excellent — 35.3% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
14.1%
Good — 14.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+19.4%
Fast-growing sales (+19.4% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-69.6%
Earnings shrinking (-69.6% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
867%
Turns 867% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
16.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (16.4%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.99
Moderate — manageable debt (0.99)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
3.17x
Tight — interest eats into profit (3.2x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
53.7x
Expensive — P/E 53.7

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+46.9
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (53.7 → 6.8)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.25%
Small dividend — 1.25% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-0.6%
Dividend cut (-0.6% YoY) — warning sign

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