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Midland States Bancorp

MSBI
52
Banks - Regional · Financial Services
Price
$32.85
+0.32 (+0.98%)
Market Cap
$681.7M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
52
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Bank Quality
Good
Growth
Weak
Capital Strength
Exceptional
Asset Quality
Mixed
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

3.1% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 22.5M (2021) → 21.9M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Midland States Bancorp is a regional bank holding company based in Effingham, Illinois. It offers everyday banking services like checking accounts, savings accounts, and loans to individuals and small-to-mid-sized businesses across the Midwest. The company also provides wealth management and equipment financing services, making it more than just a basic community bank.

Midland States earns money primarily through interest on loans, fees from banking services, and income from its wealth management division. It operates mainly in Illinois and surrounding Midwest states, with roughly $7–8 billion in total assets, putting it in the smaller end of the regional bank category. The bank's local market relationships give it some competitive footing against larger national banks, but its main risk is exposure to credit losses if borrowers struggle to repay loans — a concern that becomes more serious during periods of high interest rates or economic slowdowns, which can pressure both loan demand and asset quality.

Score breakdown

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Bank Quality

Return on owners' money
Return on Equity
12.7%
no trend
Strong — 12.7% return on equity

Standard mid-range return on equity. Acceptable.

Profit on lending
Net Interest Margin
3.98%
no trend
Wide spread — 3.98% net interest margin
Cost of running the bank
Efficiency Ratio
60.3%
no trend
Average — 60.3% efficiency ratio

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-19.9%
Shrinking sales (-19.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-0.6%
Earnings shrinking (-0.6% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Capital Strength

Safety cushion
Capital Ratio
13.2%
no trend
Fortress balance sheet — 13.2% CET1

A strong capital cushion. This bank is well padded against a bad year.

Asset Quality

Loans not being repaid
Non-Performing Loans
1.35%
no trend
Some stress — 1.35% non-performing loans

Between 1% and 2% of loans are struggling. Worth watching, but not alarming.

Loans written off
Net Charge-Offs
0.62%
no trend
Rising losses — 0.62% net charge-offs

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.5x
Growth-priced — P/E 20.5

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+10.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (20.5 → 10.0)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.82%
Moderate income — 3.82% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+3.2%
Dividend growing modestly (3.2% YoY)

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