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Mobico Group

MCG.L
22
Railroads · Industrials
Exchange
London Stock Exchange
Winston Score
22
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Data not available
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Mobico Group is a public transportation company based in the United Kingdom. It runs bus and coach services across multiple countries, moving millions of passengers every day. The company owns well-known brands including National Express, which operates long-distance coach routes in the UK and contracted bus services in North America, Europe, and the Middle East.

Mobico earns money mainly through passenger fares and government or local authority contracts to run bus networks. It operates across the UK, Spain, Germany, the US, Canada, and several other markets, making it one of the larger private bus operators in the world. The company has faced significant financial pressure in recent years, carrying a heavy debt load and thin profit margins, as shown by its low gross margin of around 5%. The main risk going forward is whether Mobico can reduce its debt and stabilize cash flows while managing rising operating costs across its international network.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-19.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+94.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

Insider Activity

48.9%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~2 years

£419M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

£419M cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Mobico Group's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
5.4%
Thin — 5.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
5.4%
Thin — 5.4% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
6.1%
Weak — 6.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-19.8%
Shrinking sales (-19.8% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-2.2%
Burning cash (-2.2%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.32x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.3x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
no trend
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
28.03%
no trend
Healthy income — 28.03% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-99.0%
no trend
Dividend cut (-99.0% YoY) — warning sign

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