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Molina Healthcare

MOH
31
Medical - Healthcare Plans · Healthcare
Price
$200.29
+3.35 (+1.70%)
Market Cap
$10.46B
Winston Score
31
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Data not available

Share count falling — buybacks

13.3% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 58.6M (2021) → 50.8M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Molina Healthcare is a health insurance company that focuses almost entirely on government-sponsored programs. It manages health plans for low-income and vulnerable people through Medicaid, Medicare, and the Affordable Care Act marketplace. The company operates in about 20 U.S. states and serves roughly 5 million members.

Molina makes money by receiving fixed monthly payments from state and federal governments for each member it covers, then paying for that member's medical care. The goal is to collect more in premiums than it spends on healthcare — a thin margin business, as the low gross margin reflects. Its competitive position comes from deep expertise in navigating complex government contracting and compliance requirements, which creates a barrier for new entrants. The main risk is that rising medical costs, particularly from higher-than-expected patient utilization, can quickly squeeze already narrow margins, while growth depends on winning new state Medicaid contracts and expanding into additional states.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-4.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-75.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (18%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

6.9%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Runway

~4 years

$5.0B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

$5.0B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Molina Healthcare's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
100.0%
Premium pricing power — 100.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
1.3%
Thin — 1.3% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
3.7%
Weak — 3.7% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+2.6%
Nearly flat sales (+2.6% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-99.2%
Earnings shrinking (-99.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
0.6%
Thin free cash flow (0.6%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.90
Moderate — manageable debt (0.90)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.42x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.4x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
Data not available
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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