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Nabtesco Corporation

NCTKF
57
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
$29.00
+0.00 (+0.00%)
Market Cap
$3.40B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
57
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Weak

Share count falling — buybacks

1.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 121.3M (2021) → 119.3M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Nabtesco Corporation is a Japanese industrial machinery company that makes precision motion control equipment. Its most important products are cycloidal gear reducers — special mechanical parts that help robots and factory machines move with extreme accuracy. These reducers are used by industrial robot makers, aerospace companies, and railway operators around the world.

Nabtesco earns money by selling hardware components and systems to manufacturers and transportation companies. It is headquartered in Tokyo and generates most of its revenue in Japan, though it also sells into China, Europe, and North America. The company holds a dominant share of the global market for precision gear reducers used in industrial robots, which gives it a strong competitive position. However, its growth is closely tied to capital spending by robot manufacturers and factory automation trends, meaning a slowdown in Chinese manufacturing investment or a broader industrial downturn could weigh heavily on demand.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
30.1%
Modest — 30.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
8.7%
Modest — 8.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
8.1%
Below par — 8.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-7.7%
Shrinking sales (-7.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+76.5%
Earnings growing fast (+76.5% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
159%
Turns 159% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
8.3%
Modest free cash flow (8.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.17
Conservative — low debt load (0.17)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
27.14x
Comfortably covers interest (27.1x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
27.0x
Growth-priced — P/E 27.0

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+6.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (27.0 → 20.5)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.70%
Small dividend — 1.70% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-0.9%
Dividend cut (-0.9% YoY) — warning sign

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