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Nabtesco Corporation

NCTKY
57
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
$14.25
-0.28 (-1.93%)
Market Cap
$3.34B
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
57
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Strong
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Weak

Share count falling — buybacks

1.6% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 242.5M (2021) → 238.6M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Nabtesco Corporation is a Japanese industrial machinery company that makes precision motion control equipment. Its most important products are cycloidal gear reducers — specialized mechanical parts that help robots move with extreme accuracy. These reducers are used in factory robots, and Nabtesco holds a dominant share of the global market for this specific component, supplying major robotics manufacturers worldwide. The company also makes equipment for aircraft, trains, and construction machinery.

Nabtesco earns revenue by selling hardware components and systems to industrial customers, primarily manufacturers in automation, aerospace, and transportation. Most of its business is in Japan and Asia, though it has a global customer base through the robotics supply chain. Its strong position in precision gear reducers gives it a meaningful competitive moat, since switching suppliers in robotics manufacturing is difficult and costly. The key growth driver is the long-term expansion of factory automation and industrial robotics, while a slowdown in global manufacturing investment remains the main near-term risk.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
30.1%
Modest — 30.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
8.7%
Modest — 8.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
8.2%
Below par — 8.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-6.4%
Shrinking sales (-6.4% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+82.6%
Earnings growing fast (+82.6% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
7/8 quarters
Every recent quarter grew earnings vs last year

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
162%
Turns 162% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
8.5%
Modest free cash flow (8.5%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.17
Conservative — low debt load (0.17)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
27.09x
Comfortably covers interest (27.1x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
27.0x
Growth-priced — P/E 27.0

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.87%
Small dividend — 1.87% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-6.5%
Dividend cut (-6.5% YoY) — warning sign

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