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National Fuel Gas Company

NFG
62
Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy
Price
$82.48
-1.46 (-1.74%)
Market Cap
$7.84B
Winston Score
62
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Strong
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

National Fuel Gas Company is a natural gas business that does almost everything related to gas — it pulls gas out of the ground, moves it through pipelines, and delivers it to homes and businesses. The company operates across the full supply chain, from production in the Appalachian region to distribution in western New York and Pennsylvania. It owns the Seneca Resources subsidiary for drilling and a regulated utility that serves roughly 750,000 customers.

National Fuel makes money in several ways: selling the gas it produces, charging fees to move gas through its pipelines, and collecting regulated utility rates from residential and commercial customers. This mix of businesses spans New York, Pennsylvania, and parts of Canada, and the regulated utility segment provides steady, predictable cash flow that cushions the company from volatile commodity prices. The main risk is that natural gas prices can fall sharply, hurting the production segment's earnings even when the utility side stays stable.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+1.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

-12.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

1.5%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.3B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

National Fuel Gas Company is growing revenue at 1% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

0.5% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 91.7M (2021) → 91.2M (2025)

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
43.1%
Healthy — 43.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
38.9%
Excellent — 38.9% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
13.5%
Good — 13.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+14.7%
Fast-growing sales (+14.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+166.5%
Earnings growing fast (+166.5% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
188%
Turns 188% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
8.9%
Modest free cash flow (8.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.91
Moderate — manageable debt (0.91)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
6.81x
Adequate interest coverage (6.8x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
11.4x
Attractive valuation — P/E 11.4

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.3
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.65%
Moderate income — 2.65% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+3.8%
Dividend growing modestly (3.8% YoY)

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