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Nel ASA

NEL.OL
21
Industrial - Machinery · Industrials
Price
kr 2.13
-0.02 (-0.93%)
Market Cap
kr 3.91B
Exchange
Oslo Stock Exchange
Winston Score
21
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Data not available
Valuation
Data not available
Dividends
Mixed

Share count rising — dilution

+23.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.46B (2021) → 1.81B (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Nel ASA is a Norwegian company that makes machines used to produce and store hydrogen gas. Its main products are electrolyzers, which split water into hydrogen using electricity, and fueling stations that dispense hydrogen to vehicles like buses and trucks. Nel serves industrial customers, energy companies, and governments that are trying to build out clean hydrogen infrastructure around the world.

Nel earns revenue by selling electrolyzer systems and hydrogen fueling equipment, as well as through service contracts. The company operates globally, with manufacturing in Norway, Denmark, and the United States, and has customers across Europe, North America, and Asia. Nel has an early-mover position in a niche industry, but the business is not yet profitable — its gross and operating margins are deeply negative, meaning it spends far more than it earns. The biggest risk is that the hydrogen economy is developing much more slowly than expected, leaving Nel dependent on raising outside capital to fund operations while waiting for large-scale demand to materialize.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-11.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-40.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

kr 0/ year

Declining (-100% vs prior year)

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

R&D spend declining — could signal cost-cutting or efficiency

Insider Activity

9.1%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~5 years

kr 1.3B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

kr 1.3B cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

Nel ASA's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
54.1%
Healthy — 54.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-152.2%
Losing money on operations — -152.2%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-39.2%
Weak — -39.2% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-15.8%
Shrinking sales (-15.8% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-54.1%
Burning cash (-54.1%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.24%
Moderate income — 3.24% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
N/A
Data not available

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