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Nelnet

NNI
48
Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services
Price
$127.03
+0.43 (+0.34%)
Market Cap
$4.56B
Winston Score
48
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

4.3% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 37.9M (2021) → 36.3M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Nelnet is a financial services company based in Lincoln, Nebraska, that mainly helps people pay for college. It manages student loans, processes tuition payments for schools, and provides technology services to universities and the federal government. Nelnet is one of the largest student loan servicers in the United States, handling hundreds of billions of dollars in federal student loan accounts on behalf of the U.S. Department of Education.

The company earns money in several ways: collecting fees to service student loans, charging schools and families for payment processing software, and generating interest income from loans it holds on its balance sheet. Nelnet operates almost entirely within the United States and benefits from long-term government contracts that are difficult for competitors to displace quickly. The biggest risk it faces is that the federal student loan servicing market is shrinking as older loan portfolios wind down, so Nelnet must grow its education technology and payment businesses fast enough to replace that declining revenue.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
81.6%
Premium pricing power — 81.6% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
7.7%
Modest — 7.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
5.2%
Weak — 5.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-4.6%
Shrinking sales (-4.6% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-7.7%
Earnings shrinking (-7.7% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
133%
Turns 133% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
19.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (19.6%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.87
Elevated debt (1.87)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.23x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.2x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.2x
Fair value — P/E 15.2

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-1.4
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
0.95%
Small dividend — 0.95% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+15.2%
Dividend growing fast (15.2% YoY)

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