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Neste Oyj

NTOIY
54
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · Energy
Exchange
Other OTC
Winston Score
54
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Weak

Winston Score History

The full picture

Neste is a Finnish energy company best known as the world's largest producer of renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel. It refines crude oil into traditional fuels but has shifted heavily toward making diesel and jet fuel from waste fats, used cooking oil, and other renewable raw materials. Its customers include airlines, trucking companies, and fuel distributors mainly in Europe and North America.

Neste earns revenue by selling refined petroleum products and renewable fuels, with renewable products now driving the majority of its profits. The company is headquartered in Espoo, Finland, and operates refineries in Finland, Singapore, and the Netherlands. Its early investment in renewable refining capacity gives it a scale advantage that competitors are still trying to match. Key growth depends on rising global mandates for sustainable fuels, but the business faces risks from volatile feedstock prices, increasing competition in renewable fuels, and potential changes to government incentive programs.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
21.4%
Thin — 21.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
15.2%
Healthy — 15.2% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
16.8%
Strong — 16.8% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-0.5%
Shrinking sales (-0.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
147%
Turns 147% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
6.7%
Modest free cash flow (6.7%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.44
Conservative — low debt load (0.44)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
10.69x
Comfortably covers interest (10.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.3x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 19.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+5.5
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (19.3 → 13.9)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.20%
no trend
Small dividend — 1.20% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-32.3%
no trend
Dividend cut (-32.3% YoY) — warning sign

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