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Neuren Pharmaceuticals Limited

NEU.AX
61
Biotechnology · Healthcare
Price
A$22.46
-0.68 (-2.94%)
Market Cap
A$2.85B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
61
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+11.0% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 117.8M (2021) → 130.8M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Neuren Pharmaceuticals is an Australian biotechnology company that develops medicines for rare brain disorders affecting children. Its main product is trofinetide, sold under the brand name Daybue in the United States, which is approved to treat Rett syndrome — a serious genetic condition that affects brain development, mostly in young girls. Neuren partnered with US-based Acadia Pharmaceuticals to commercialize Daybue in North America.

Neuren earns money primarily through royalties and milestone payments from its partnership with Acadia, rather than selling drugs directly to patients itself. This royalty model explains the relatively high gross margin, though the business is still in early stages of generating consistent profit. The company is based in Australia but its commercial success depends almost entirely on Daybue's uptake in the US market. The key growth driver is expanding Daybue's patient reach and advancing its pipeline candidate NNZ-2591 into additional rare neurological conditions, while the main risk is heavy reliance on a single approved drug and a single commercial partner.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
100.0%
Premium pricing power — 100.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
30.6%
Excellent — 30.6% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
2.1%
Weak — 2.1% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-70.2%
Shrinking sales (-70.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-77.8%
Earnings shrinking (-77.8% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
412%
Turns 412% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
194.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (194.0%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
100.00x
Comfortably covers interest (100.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
93.6x
Expensive — P/E 93.6

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+59.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (93.6 → 34.6)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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