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National Grid

NGG
44
Regulated Electric · Utilities
Price
$79.76
-0.86 (-1.07%)
Market Cap
$80.19B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
44
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Good
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+26.4% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 786.8M (2022) → 994.2M (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

National Grid owns and operates the electricity and gas networks that move energy from power plants to homes, businesses, and hospitals. It does not generate electricity itself — it just runs the pipes and wires that carry it. The company operates major transmission networks in the United Kingdom and the northeastern United States, including New York and New England.

National Grid earns money through regulated fees set by government agencies, meaning it charges utilities and energy suppliers for using its networks. Because regulators control its prices, revenue is stable and predictable, which is a key competitive advantage — no rival can simply build a competing set of power lines in the same area. The company is investing heavily to upgrade its grids to handle more renewable energy, which is its main growth driver, but rising interest rates and large capital spending requirements put pressure on returns and could strain its balance sheet over time.

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1 Congressional buy and 1 sell on NGG in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
39.0%
Modest — 39.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
39.0%
Excellent — 39.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
6.8%
Weak — 6.8% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-0.1%
Shrinking sales (-0.1% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+12.2%
Earnings growing (+12.2% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
191%
Turns 191% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-21.2%
Burning cash (-21.2%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.19
Elevated debt (1.19)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
4.47x
Adequate interest coverage (4.5x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
24.2x
Growth-priced — P/E 24.2

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+13.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (24.2 → 10.8)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
4.06%
Healthy income — 4.06% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-33.5%
Dividend cut (-33.5% YoY) — warning sign

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