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Nick Scali Limited

NCK.AX
65
Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical
Price
A$15.40
-0.41 (-2.59%)
Market Cap
A$1.32B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
65
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+5.6% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 81.0M (2022) → 85.5M (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Nick Scali is an Australian furniture retailer that sells sofas, dining tables, beds, and other home furnishings. It targets everyday homeowners looking for mid-to-upper range furniture, and operates large showrooms across Australia and New Zealand. The company is one of Australia's most recognized specialty furniture brands, known for its private-label sofa range imported mainly from Asia.

Nick Scali makes money by selling furniture directly to consumers through its physical showrooms and online store. It operates roughly 60-plus stores across Australia and New Zealand, and recently expanded into the UK market through its acquisition of Plush and the Fabb Furniture brand. Its competitive edge comes from a lean, vertically integrated sourcing model that keeps costs low and margins relatively high for a retailer. The main risk is that furniture is a discretionary purchase, meaning sales can fall sharply when consumers feel financial pressure from rising interest rates or a slowing housing market.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+1.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+28.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

A$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

11.0%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

A$107M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

Nick Scali Limited is growing revenue at 1% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
36.7%
Modest — 36.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
21.8%
Excellent — 21.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
30.5%
Exceptional — 30.5% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+4.3%
Slow sales growth (+4.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+32.8%
Earnings growing fast (+32.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
199%
Turns 199% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
24.9%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (24.9%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.42
Conservative — low debt load (0.42)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
6.78x
Adequate interest coverage (6.8x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
17.3x
Fair value — P/E 17.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-1.0
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
4.43%
Healthy income — 4.43% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-6.9%
Dividend cut (-6.9% YoY) — warning sign

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