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Norfolk Southern Corporation

NSC
49
Railroads · Industrials
Also trades as: 0K8M.L
Winston Score
49
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Good
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Weak

Winston Score History

The full picture

Norfolk Southern runs one of the largest freight railroad networks in the United States. It moves goods like coal, chemicals, cars, and consumer products across roughly 19,500 miles of track in the eastern half of the country. Its main customers are manufacturers, energy companies, and retailers who need to ship heavy cargo long distances.

The company makes money by charging businesses to move freight on its rail network. It operates almost entirely in the eastern U.S., competing mainly with CSX, which runs a similar eastern network. Railroads have a strong natural moat because building new track is extremely expensive, making it nearly impossible for new competitors to enter the market. The biggest risk Norfolk Southern faces is losing freight volume to trucking companies, especially if fuel prices fall and make trucks cheaper to operate relative to rail.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+11.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-4.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

5+ years

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$5.2B cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

Norfolk Southern Corporation is growing revenue at 11% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
66.8%
Premium pricing power — 66.8% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
32.4%
Excellent — 32.4% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
12.1%
Good — 12.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+3.0%
Nearly flat sales (+3.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-20.9%
Earnings shrinking (-20.9% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
142%
Turns 142% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
7.0%
Modest free cash flow (7.0%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.02
Elevated debt (1.02)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
5.05x
Adequate interest coverage (5.0x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
29.6x
no trend
Growth-priced — P/E 29.6

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+8.2
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (29.6 → 21.3)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.62%
no trend
Small dividend — 1.62% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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