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Novartis AG

NOVN.SW
63
Drug Manufacturers - General · Healthcare
Price
CHF 127.42
+1.08 (+0.85%)
Market Cap
CHF 242.19B
Exchange
SIX Swiss Exchange
Winston Score
63
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Exceptional
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Good
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Strong

Share count falling — buybacks

13.5% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 2.26B (2021) → 1.96B (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Novartis is a Swiss pharmaceutical company that discovers, makes, and sells prescription medicines to patients around the world. Its key products include Cosentyx for autoimmune diseases, Entresto for heart failure, and Kisqali for breast cancer, with hospitals, doctors, and pharmacies as its main customers. It is one of the largest drug companies in the world by revenue and market value.

Novartis makes money primarily by selling branded prescription drugs, which are protected by patents that allow the company to charge premium prices. It operates globally, with strong sales across the United States, Europe, and emerging markets, generating roughly $45 billion in annual revenue. The company's main competitive advantage is its large portfolio of patented medicines and its deep research pipeline, but its biggest ongoing risk is patent expiration — when patents run out, cheaper generic versions enter the market and can sharply reduce revenue from those drugs.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
74.5%
Premium pricing power — 74.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
32.8%
Excellent — 32.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
18.4%
Strong — 18.4% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-0.7%
Shrinking sales (-0.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-4.5%
Earnings shrinking (-4.5% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
143%
Turns 143% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
29.2%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (29.2%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.14
Elevated debt (1.14)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
11.88x
Comfortably covers interest (11.9x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
19.3x
Fair value — P/E 19.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+5.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (19.3 → 14.0)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.94%
Moderate income — 2.94% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+20.5%
Dividend growing fast (20.5% YoY)

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