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NRG Energy

NRA.DE
46
Independent Power Producers · Utilities
Price
€97.10
-1.83 (-1.85%)
Market Cap
€20.49B
Exchange
Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Winston Score
46
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Weak

Share count falling — buybacks

18.8% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 245.0M (2021) → 199.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

NRG Energy is a large American power company that generates and sells electricity to homes and businesses across the United States. It owns and operates power plants that run on natural gas, coal, oil, and renewable sources. NRG also sells electricity and natural gas directly to retail customers under brands like Reliant and Green Mountain Energy.

NRG makes money by generating electricity and selling it on wholesale markets, and by selling energy plans directly to retail customers on fixed or variable-rate contracts. The company operates mainly in the U.S., serving roughly 6 million customers, making it one of the largest competitive retail energy providers in the country. Its retail business provides more stable, recurring revenue compared to pure power generators, but NRG carries significant debt, and its margins remain thin — meaning rising fuel costs or falling electricity prices can quickly squeeze profits.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+11.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+474.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

4.7%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$162M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

NRG Energy is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 11%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
26.9%
Modest — 26.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
12.8%
Healthy — 12.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
7.2%
Weak — 7.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+12.7%
Fast-growing sales (+12.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+65.9%
Earnings growing fast (+65.9% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
183%
Turns 183% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
0.9%
Thin free cash flow (0.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
4.79
Heavy debt load (4.79)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.96x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (2.0x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
25.6x
Growth-priced — P/E 25.6

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+16.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (25.6 → 9.6)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
1.68%
Small dividend — 1.68% yield

Modest yield. The bulk of any return needs to come from price appreciation.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+1.4%
Dividend flat

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