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NVR

NVR
43
Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical
Winston Score
43
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Mixed

Winston Score History

The full picture

NVR builds and sells new homes to families across the United States under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes brands. The company focuses on single-family houses, townhomes, and condominiums in growing suburban markets, primarily serving first-time homebuyers and move-up buyers. NVR is one of the largest homebuilders in America, operating mainly in the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, and Southeast regions.

The company makes money by selling completed homes directly to buyers, typically earning a profit margin on each house after covering land, materials, and construction costs. NVR operates in about 15 states and builds roughly 20,000 homes per year, with a business model that uses less capital than competitors by often buying land only when a home sale is secured. The company's growth depends heavily on mortgage rates, local job markets, and housing demand, making it sensitive to economic cycles that can quickly reduce buyer activity.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
-0.3%
Thin — -0.3% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-0.3%
Losing money on operations — -0.3%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
25.4%
Exceptional — 25.4% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-15.3%
Shrinking sales (-15.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-19.4%
Earnings shrinking (-19.4% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
110%
Turns 110% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
13.8%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (13.8%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.27
Conservative — low debt load (0.27)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
2109.31x
Comfortably covers interest (2109.3x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
15.5x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 15.5

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-2.3
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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