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Deep Value: cash covers more than 100% of the stock price

This company holds roughly $1M in cash and investments — more than its entire stock-market value, based on its latest quarterly filing. You're paying very little for the actual business. Sometimes that's a genuine bargain or a takeover target, sometimes it's cheap for a reason. Not a buy signal on its own — always ask why it's this cheap.

Octava Minerals Limited logo

Octava Minerals Limited

OCT.AX
19
Other Precious Metals · Basic Materials
Price
A$0.02
+0.00 (+5.00%)
Market Cap
A$1.6M
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
19
Winston is worried
Weak fundamentals across most pillars.
Based on the IPO prospectus (annual filing). This score will refine automatically once the company reports its first quarters.
Data as of Aug 24, 2026 · filings through Dec 31, 2025
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Good
Valuation
Data not available

Share count rising — dilution

+23.3% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 46.1M (2021) → 56.9M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Octava Minerals Limited is a small Australian mining exploration company focused on finding and developing precious metal deposits. It primarily searches for gold and other precious metals, targeting projects located in Western Australia, one of the world's most active mining regions. The company does not yet produce or sell minerals commercially — it is in the exploration stage, meaning it spends money looking for economically viable deposits rather than generating sales revenue.

Octava earns no meaningful operating revenue from mining. Instead, it funds its activities by raising capital from investors through share issuances, which is typical for early-stage exploration companies. The unusual financial margins shown reflect accounting items rather than real profitability, and the negative return on invested capital signals ongoing cash consumption. The company's main risk is the high failure rate of mineral exploration — most projects never become producing mines — and it depends heavily on continued access to capital markets and favorable commodity prices to survive and advance its projects.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-100.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+90.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

A$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (3%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

54.5%ownership

Insiders own a meaningful stake in the company

Cash Runway

~11 months

A$2M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

Short runway — potential dilution ahead through share issuance

Cash watch

Octava Minerals Limited has less than a year of cash at its current burn rate. Growth investors should watch for potential share dilution from future fundraising — that directly reduces your ownership.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
100.0%
Premium pricing power — 100.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
-170806.1%
Losing money on operations — -170806.1%
Return on the money invested
ROCE
-65.9%
Weak — -65.9% return on capital

Negative ROIC means the business is losing money on every dollar invested in it.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-99.3%
Shrinking sales (-99.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
N/A
Data not available

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-128054.6%
Burning cash (-128054.6%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.00
Conservative — low debt load (0.00)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/M
Negative earnings — P/E not meaningful
Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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