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Orchid Island Capital

ORC
50
REIT - Mortgage · Real Estate
Price
$6.70
-0.01 (-0.15%)
Market Cap
$1.16B
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
50
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+429.5% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 24.2M (2021) → 128.3M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Orchid Island Capital is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in mortgage-backed securities, which are bundles of home loans packaged into tradeable assets. The company does not make loans directly to homebuyers. Instead, it buys securities backed by residential mortgages, primarily those guaranteed by U.S. government agencies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Orchid Island makes money by borrowing at short-term interest rates and using that money to buy mortgage-backed securities that pay higher long-term rates, pocketing the difference — a strategy called a "spread." The company operates entirely in the United States and is required by law to pay out at least 90% of its taxable income as dividends to shareholders. Its biggest risk is interest rate changes: when short-term rates rise faster than long-term rates, the spread shrinks and profits fall, which is exactly what happened during the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike cycle in recent years.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+800.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue accelerating

EPS Growth

+251.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (1%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.3%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$13.0B cash & investments

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue accelerating

Orchid Island Capital grew revenue 800% year-over-year and the growth rate is speeding up. That's the kind of momentum growth investors look for — the question is whether margins can follow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
96.6%
Premium pricing power — 96.6% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
96.6%
Excellent — 96.6% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
2.4%
Weak — 2.4% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
>+1,000%
Fast-growing sales (>+1,000% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+641.1%
Earnings growing fast (+641.1% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
59%
Weak — only 59% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
25.2%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (25.2%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
8.04
Heavy debt load (8.04)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.81x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.8x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
4.5x
Attractive valuation — P/E 4.5

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-1.3
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
20.84%
Healthy income — 20.84% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-16.7%
Dividend cut (-16.7% YoY) — warning sign

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