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PayPay Corporation

PAYP
74
Software - Infrastructure · Technology
Price
$15.41
+1.12 (+7.84%)
Market Cap
$10.43B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
74
Winston is happy
A high-quality business with solid fundamentals.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Exceptional
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+2.4% over 3y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 629.3M (2023) → 644.2M (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

PayPay Corporation is a Japanese digital payments company that lets people pay for things using their smartphones instead of cash or cards. Its main product is the PayPay app, which works at millions of stores, restaurants, and online shops across Japan. It is one of the largest mobile payment platforms in Japan, competing in a market where cashless payments have grown rapidly in recent years.

PayPay makes money by charging merchants a small fee each time a customer uses the app to pay, and it also earns revenue from financial services like loans, insurance, and investment products offered inside the app. The company operates almost entirely within Japan, and its large user base — tens of millions of registered accounts — gives it a strong network effect that makes it hard for rivals to displace. The key growth driver is expanding its financial services beyond basic payments, though heavy competition from other Japanese tech and banking players remains a significant ongoing risk.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+27.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong revenue growth

EPS Growth

+73.1% YoY

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

¥0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (15%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

92.2%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~10 years

¥2.3T cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

¥2.3T cash & investments at current burn rate

Strong grower

PayPay Corporation is growing revenue at 28% year-over-year. The Winston Score penalises unprofitable companies, but revenue at this pace tells a different story — this is a company still in "build mode."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
88.8%
Premium pricing power — 88.8% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
28.2%
Excellent — 28.2% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
8.1%
Below par — 8.1% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+28.9%
Fast-growing sales (+28.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+394.8%
Earnings growing fast (+394.8% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/4 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
184%
Turns 184% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
52.6%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (52.6%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
1.83
Elevated debt (1.83)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
11.02x
Comfortably covers interest (11.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
31.5x
Pricey — P/E 31.5

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+11.7
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (31.5 → 19.8)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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