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Penske Automotive Group

PAG
44
Auto - Dealerships · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$216.87
+0.32 (+0.15%)
Market Cap
$14.24B
Winston Score
44
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Strong

Share count falling — buybacks

17.0% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 79.7M (2021) → 66.2M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Penske Automotive Group is one of the largest car dealership companies in the United States. It sells new and used cars, trucks, and motorcycles through hundreds of dealerships across the U.S., U.K., and several other countries. The company represents dozens of brands, including premium names like BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Audi, and it also owns a large stake in Penske Transportation Solutions, a commercial truck leasing business.

Penske makes money by selling vehicles, arranging financing and insurance for buyers, and servicing cars in its repair shops. The finance and insurance products, along with the service departments, tend to carry higher margins than vehicle sales alone, which helps offset the thin profits on new car sales. The company's heavy exposure to premium and luxury brands gives it some pricing stability, but its results are sensitive to interest rates — when borrowing costs rise, fewer consumers can afford new vehicles, which is a key risk to watch.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+11.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

+4.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

73.1%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$70M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth + cash flow

Penske Automotive Group is a rare growth stock that's already generating positive cash flow while growing at 11%. The Winston Score doesn't fully credit this transition from "burner" to "earner."

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
15.9%
Thin — 15.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
4.0%
Thin — 4.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
11.6%
Below par — 11.6% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+7.7%
Steady sales growth (+7.7% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-5.5%
Earnings shrinking (-5.5% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
83%
Modest — 83% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
1.4%
Thin free cash flow (1.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.84
Moderate — manageable debt (0.84)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
88.83x
Comfortably covers interest (88.8x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
16.0x
Fair value — P/E 16.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-0.8
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.64%
Moderate income — 2.64% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+13.0%
Dividend growing fast (13.0% YoY)

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