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Deep Value: cash covers more than 100% of the stock price

This company holds roughly $719M in cash and investments — more than its entire stock-market value, based on its latest quarterly filing. You're paying very little for the actual business. Sometimes that's a genuine bargain or a takeover target, sometimes it's cheap for a reason. Not a buy signal on its own — always ask why it's this cheap.

PostNL N.V. logo

PostNL N.V.

PNL.AS
32
Integrated Freight & Logistics · Industrials
Price
€0.89
-0.01 (-0.67%)
Market Cap
€461.8M
Exchange
Euronext Amsterdam
Winston Score
32
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 27, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

PostNL is the national postal and parcel delivery company of the Netherlands. It delivers letters and packages to homes and businesses across the Netherlands and Belgium, serving everyday consumers, online retailers, and large corporations. It was formerly part of Dutch state-owned TNT and remains the dominant postal operator in the Netherlands.

PostNL makes money by charging fees for each letter or parcel it delivers, with parcel volumes growing as e-commerce expands while traditional letter volumes steadily decline. The company operates mainly in the Netherlands and Belgium, with some cross-border delivery services, and its size puts it at roughly $0.5 billion in market value. Its main competitive advantage is its dense delivery network and its role as the designated universal postal service provider in the Netherlands, but its razor-thin margins — with gross margin near 4% and operating margin near zero — leave almost no room for error, and rising labor and fuel costs remain a serious ongoing risk to profitability.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-1.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+87.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

€0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

34.3%ownership

Rising

Insiders increasing their stake — aligned with shareholders

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

€615M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

PostNL N.V.'s revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

+0.1% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 506.0M (2021) → 506.4M (2025)

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
9.6%
Thin — 9.6% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
0.1%
Thin — 0.1% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
5.5%
Weak — 5.5% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+1.4%
Nearly flat sales (+1.4% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
1247%
Turns 1247% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
5.3%
Thin free cash flow (5.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
5.17
Heavy debt load (5.17)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.83x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.8x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
23.9x
Growth-priced — P/E 23.9

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-3.2
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
4.37%
Healthy income — 4.37% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-74.3%
Dividend cut (-74.3% YoY) — warning sign

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