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Shake Shack

SHAK
56
Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$75.82
+1.97 (+2.67%)
Market Cap
$3.06B
Winston Score
56
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jul 1, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Strong
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+7.1% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 39.1M (2021) → 41.8M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Shake Shack is a fast-casual restaurant chain that sells burgers, chicken sandwiches, hot dogs, crinkle-cut fries, milkshakes, and lemonade. It started as a hot dog cart in New York City's Madison Square Park in 2001 and has grown into a recognizable brand with hundreds of locations. The company targets everyday consumers who want food that feels a step above typical fast food but is still quick and affordable.

Shake Shack makes money primarily by selling food and drinks directly to customers at its restaurants. It operates in the United States and internationally, with locations in markets like the Middle East, Asia, and Europe — some of which are run by licensed partners who pay fees to use the brand. With a gross margin under 20% and an ROIC below 3%, the business is not highly profitable today, and rising food and labor costs are a constant pressure. The key growth driver is expanding its restaurant count, but execution and cost control will determine whether that growth translates into meaningful profits.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+17.2% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Steady revenue growth

EPS Growth

-9.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

4.7%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~5 years

$308M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

$308M cash & investments at current burn rate

Growth context

Shake Shack is growing revenue at 17% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
68.5%
Premium pricing power — 68.5% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
5.0%
Thin — 5.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
8.9%
Below par — 8.9% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+17.3%
Fast-growing sales (+17.3% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+96.6%
Earnings growing fast (+96.6% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
5/8 quarters
Mixed — about half the quarters showed growth

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
557%
Turns 557% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
2.4%
Thin free cash flow (2.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.46
Conservative — low debt load (0.46)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
13.04x
Comfortably covers interest (13.0x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
77.1x
Expensive — P/E 77.1

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+40.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (77.1 → 36.9)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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