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Smith Douglas Homes

SDHC
43
Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$12.41
-0.07 (-0.56%)
Market Cap
$103.6M
Winston Score
43
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Mixed

Share count falling — buybacks

78.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 43.6M (2021) → 9.2M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Smith Douglas Homes is a homebuilder that designs and sells new single-family homes to everyday buyers, mostly first-time and entry-level homeowners. The company focuses on affordable, move-in-ready homes in fast-growing markets across the southeastern United States, including states like Georgia, Tennessee, North Carolina, and Alabama. It is a smaller regional builder competing in a space dominated by larger national companies like D.R. Horton and Lennar.

The company makes money by building and selling homes, earning revenue each time a completed house is sold to a buyer. With a market cap of roughly $100 million, Smith Douglas is a small player, but its focus on affordable entry-level homes gives it a targeted niche in high-demand Sun Belt markets. The main growth driver is continued population migration into the Southeast, while the biggest risk is rising mortgage interest rates, which make homes less affordable and can quickly slow buyer demand.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
17.6%
Thin — 17.6% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
2.2%
Thin — 2.2% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
31.0%
Exceptional — 31.0% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-1.2%
Shrinking sales (-1.2% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-55.7%
Earnings shrinking (-55.7% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
0/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
579%
Turns 579% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
3.4%
Thin free cash flow (3.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.83
Moderate — manageable debt (0.83)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
13.92x
Comfortably covers interest (13.9x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
17.3x
Fair value — P/E 17.3

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-26.7
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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