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Smithfield Foods

SFD
57
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Price
$22.25
-0.03 (-0.13%)
Market Cap
$8.75B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
57
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 28, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Good
Cash Flow
Good
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Smithfield Foods is the world's largest pork producer and processor. It raises pigs, slaughters them, and turns the meat into fresh pork cuts, bacon, ham, hot dogs, and packaged deli meats sold under well-known brands like Smithfield, Eckrich, Nathan's Famous, and Farmland. Its customers include grocery stores, restaurants, food service companies, and everyday shoppers across the United States and dozens of other countries.

The company makes money by selling both fresh pork and value-added packaged meat products, with packaged goods typically carrying higher margins than raw cuts. Smithfield operates primarily in the US but also exports significant volumes to China, Europe, and other markets, making it sensitive to global trade conditions. It was taken private by Hong Kong-based WH Group in 2013 and re-listed publicly in 2025. Its scale and vertical integration — controlling farms, feed, processing, and distribution — give it a cost advantage, though hog price volatility and trade policy shifts remain key risks to profitability.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-3.1% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+25.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Strong earnings growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

93.7%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$1.6B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Smithfield Foods's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Share count broadly stable

0.1% over 4y

The share count has stayed roughly flat over this period — little dilution or buyback activity.

Diluted shares outstanding: 393.1M (2021) → 392.7M (2025)

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
13.1%
Thin — 13.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
7.0%
Modest — 7.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
14.8%
Good — 14.8% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+4.0%
Slow sales growth (+4.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+15.0%
Earnings growing (+15.0% YoY)

Healthy double-digit earnings growth — what compounders look like.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
109%
Turns 109% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
5.2%
Thin free cash flow (5.2%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.29
Conservative — low debt load (0.29)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
38.20x
Comfortably covers interest (38.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
8.3x
Attractive valuation — P/E 8.3

P/E under 10. The price tag is small relative to last year's profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-0.6
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
5.62%
Healthy income — 5.62% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
N/A
Data not available

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