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South Bow Corporation

SOBO
50
Oil & Gas Midstream · Energy
Also trades as: SOBO.TO
Exchange
New York Stock Exchange
Winston Score
50
Winston is curious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

South Bow Corporation is a Canadian pipeline company that moves crude oil from producers in Alberta and the U.S. Midwest to refineries and export terminals across North America. It operates the Keystone Pipeline System, one of the largest crude oil pipeline networks on the continent, connecting oil sands production in Canada to markets as far south as the U.S. Gulf Coast. The company was spun off from TC Energy in 2024 as a standalone midstream business focused purely on liquids pipelines.

South Bow earns money mainly through long-term contracts with oil producers and shippers who pay fees to move crude through its pipelines, regardless of oil prices. It operates primarily in Canada and the United States, with a market cap of around $7.6 billion. Its contracted revenue model provides relatively stable cash flows, but the business faces long-term risk from any decline in Canadian oil sands production or regulatory pressure on pipeline infrastructure expansion.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
76.9%
Premium pricing power — 76.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
43.8%
Excellent — 43.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
5.8%
Weak — 5.8% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-23.0%
Shrinking sales (-23.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+37.7%
Earnings growing fast (+37.7% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
193%
Turns 193% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
41.4%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (41.4%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
2.15
Heavy debt load (2.15)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
1.56x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (1.6x)

Interest coverage between 1 and 3. Profits cover interest, but with little room to spare.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
17.0x
no trend
Fair value — P/E 17.0

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
-0.2
SLOWING
Earnings expected to fall — forward P/E higher than today

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
5.62%
no trend
Healthy income — 5.62% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
N/A
no trend
Data not available

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