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Starbucks Corporation

SBUX
43
Restaurants · Consumer Cyclical
Price
$107.08
+3.09 (+2.97%)
Market Cap
$122.07B
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
43
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 28, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Share count falling — buybacks

3.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.19B (2021) → 1.14B (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Starbucks is a global coffeehouse chain that sells coffee drinks, teas, food, and merchandise to everyday consumers. Its core products include espresso-based beverages, cold brews, Frappuccinos, and packaged goods sold under the Starbucks brand. With over 40,000 locations worldwide, it is the largest coffeehouse chain in the world.

Starbucks makes money primarily through company-operated stores, but also earns revenue from licensed locations, packaged consumer goods sold in grocery stores, and its loyalty app ecosystem. It operates across North America, China, and dozens of other countries, with China representing its second-largest and most strategically important market. The company's moat comes from its loyalty program, brand recognition, and premium positioning — but it faces real pressure from slowing traffic, intense competition in China from local rivals like Luckin Coffee, and the challenge of reversing declining same-store sales under a relatively new CEO tasked with turning the business around.

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Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-1.4% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+85.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

EPS growth accelerating

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$5.6B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Revenue declining

Starbucks Corporation's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

Each metric is explained in plain language so you know exactly what you're looking at. Start your free trial now.

Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
69.7%
Premium pricing power — 69.7% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
10.5%
Modest — 10.5% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
17.5%
Strong — 17.5% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+4.5%
Slow sales growth (+4.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-25.0%
Earnings shrinking (-25.0% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
350%
Turns 350% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
13.1%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (13.1%)

FCF margin between 10% and 20%. Every $100 in sales becomes $10 to $20 in real cash.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
6.21x
Adequate interest coverage (6.2x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
61.5x
Expensive — P/E 61.5

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+33.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (61.5 → 28.2)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.35%
Moderate income — 2.35% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+1.6%
Dividend flat

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