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Surge Energy

SGY.TO
60
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy
Price
C$11.22
-0.04 (-0.36%)
Market Cap
C$1.11B
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
60
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Strong
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Exceptional
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Strong
Dividends
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+80.2% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 56.0M (2021) → 100.9M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Surge Energy is a Canadian oil and gas company that drills for and produces crude oil in Western Canada. Its main assets are conventional oil fields in Alberta and Saskatchewan, and it sells the oil it pumps out of the ground to refiners and energy marketers. The company focuses almost entirely on light and medium crude oil production rather than natural gas.

Surge makes money by selling barrels of oil at prevailing market prices, so its revenue rises and falls with the price of crude oil. It operates entirely within Canada, generating roughly $1 billion in market value, and competes by keeping its drilling costs low in established, well-understood oil fields. The biggest risk the company faces is a sustained drop in oil prices, which would quickly squeeze its margins and limit its ability to fund new drilling or pay dividends to shareholders.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
49.1%
Healthy — 49.1% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
44.7%
Excellent — 44.7% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
15.2%
Strong — 15.2% return on capital

ROIC between 15% and 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns 15 to 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-12.0%
Shrinking sales (-12.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-19.3%
Earnings shrinking (-19.3% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
628%
Turns 628% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
23.0%
Converts sales into free cash efficiently (23.0%)

Free cash flow margin above 20%. Out of every $100 in sales, more than $20 is real cash they keep.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.30
Conservative — low debt load (0.30)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
5.14x
Adequate interest coverage (5.1x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
25.4x
Growth-priced — P/E 25.4

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+17.3
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (25.4 → 8.2)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
5.18%
Healthy income — 5.18% yield

Generous yield. Worth checking whether the payout is sustainable.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
Dividend flat

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