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Talon Metals

TLO.TO
29
Other Precious Metals · Basic Materials
Price
C$8.06
+0.23 (+2.94%)
Market Cap
C$756.9M
Exchange
Toronto Stock Exchange
Winston Score
29
Winston is worried
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Weak
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Good

Share count rising — dilution

+55.7% over 4y

The company has issued more shares over this period, which dilutes each existing shareholder’s stake.

Diluted shares outstanding: 67.4M (2021) → 105.0M (2025)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Talon Metals Corp. is a Canadian mining company focused on finding and developing nickel deposits in North America. Its main project is the Tamarack Nickel Project in Minnesota, which it owns jointly with Rio Tinto. Nickel is a key ingredient in electric vehicle batteries, and Talon has signed a supply agreement with Tesla to deliver battery-grade nickel concentrate once production begins.

The company is still in the exploration and development stage, meaning it does not yet generate meaningful revenue from mining operations, which explains its negative operating margin. Talon operates primarily in the United States, with its corporate base in Canada, and its partnership with Rio Tinto provides financial backing and technical expertise that smaller miners typically lack. The main risk is that moving from exploration to actual production requires significant capital spending, regulatory approvals, and time — none of which are guaranteed.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
10.9%
Thin — 10.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
8.3%
Modest — 8.3% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
0.8%
Weak — 0.8% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
N/A
Data not available
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
3/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
-39%
Weak — only -39% of profit becomes cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
-41.9%
Burning cash (-41.9%)

Free cash flow is negative. They are burning cash, not generating it.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.01
Conservative — low debt load (0.01)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
8.22x
Comfortably covers interest (8.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
452.8x
Expensive — P/E 452.8

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+428.6
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (452.8 → 24.2)

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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