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Taylor Morrison Home Corporation

TMHC
43
Residential Construction · Consumer Cyclical
Winston Score
43
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Mar 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Mixed
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Exceptional
Valuation
Good

Winston Score History

The full picture

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation builds and sells new homes across the United States. The company targets a range of buyers, from first-time homeowners to move-up buyers and active adults looking to downsize, selling homes under the Taylor Morrison and Esplanade brand names. It operates primarily in fast-growing Sun Belt markets like Texas, Florida, Arizona, and the Carolinas.

The company makes money by building homes on land it owns or controls, then selling those homes directly to buyers — a straightforward build-and-sell model with no recurring subscription revenue. With a market cap around $6.7 billion, Taylor Morrison is a mid-sized homebuilder competing against larger rivals like D.R. Horton and Lennar, relying on its land positioning in high-demand metros as a key competitive advantage. The main risk the business faces is interest rate sensitivity — when mortgage rates rise, fewer buyers can afford new homes, which directly pressures sales volume and pricing power.

Politician Trades

3 trades / 12mo

1 Congressional buy and 2 sells on TMHC in the last 12 months.

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Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
21.0%
Thin — 21.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
10.2%
Modest — 10.2% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
11.7%
Below par — 11.7% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-9.0%
Shrinking sales (-9.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-22.3%
Earnings shrinking (-22.3% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
112%
Turns 112% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
9.3%
Modest free cash flow (9.3%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.37
Conservative — low debt load (0.37)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
20.16x
Comfortably covers interest (20.2x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
10.6x
no trend
Attractive valuation — P/E 10.6

P/E in the normal range. Price is roughly $15 for every $1 of yearly profit.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Not applicable for this business.
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