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The a2 Milk Company Limited

A2M.AX
39
Packaged Foods · Consumer Defensive
Price
A$6.84
+0.14 (+2.09%)
Market Cap
A$4.96B
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
39
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Data not available
Stability
Good
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Good

Share count falling — buybacks

1.9% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 743.8M (2022) → 729.8M (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

The a2 Milk Company sells milk and infant formula made from a special type of cow's milk that contains only the A2 protein, leaving out the A1 protein found in most regular milk. The company claims this makes its products easier to digest for some people. Its main products are fresh milk, infant formula, and dairy nutrition products, sold to everyday consumers and parents of young children. It operates primarily in Australia, New Zealand, China, and the United States.

The company earns money by selling its branded products through supermarkets, online platforms, and a cross-border e-commerce channel called daigou that ships products into China. China is its largest and most important market, accounting for a significant share of revenue. The core competitive advantage is the A2 protein brand itself, which commands a price premium over standard dairy products. The biggest risk the company faces is ongoing weakness in China's infant formula market, driven by falling birth rates and intense local competition from Chinese dairy brands.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-2.7% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

+0.0% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

NZ$4M/ year

0.2% of revenue

Below sector average (2%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.3%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~8 years

NZ$877M cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

→ Burn rate stable

NZ$877M cash & investments at current burn rate

Revenue declining

The a2 Milk Company Limited's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
46.4%
Healthy — 46.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
13.4%
Healthy — 13.4% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
12.2%
Good — 12.2% return on capital

ROIC between 5% and 15%. They earn 5 to 15 cents back per year on every dollar invested.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
N/A
Data not available
Profit growth
EPS YoY
N/A
Data not available
How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
6/8 quarters
Earnings grew in most of the last 8 quarters

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
N/A
Data not available
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
N/A
Data not available

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.01
Conservative — low debt load (0.01)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
N/A
Data not available

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
22.1x
Growth-priced — P/E 22.1

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+2.4
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow — slightly cheaper on forward P/E

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
7.65%
Healthy income — 7.65% yield

Yield above 6% — often a flag the market is pricing in a cut.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
N/A
Data not available

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