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The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061 logo

The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061

CGABL
32
Financial - Credit Services · Financial Services
Exchange
NASDAQ
Winston Score
32
Winston is serious
Below-average fundamentals — multiple weak pillars.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Weak
Growth
Mixed
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Weak
Valuation
Weak
Dividends
Mixed

Winston Score History

The full picture

The Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest private equity and alternative asset management firms. It raises money from large investors — like pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and wealthy individuals — and uses that money to buy, improve, and sell companies across industries like aerospace, healthcare, technology, and energy. This ticker (CGABL) represents a specific debt security: subordinated notes paying 4.625% interest, maturing in 2061, rather than common stock in the company itself.

Carlyle earns money through management fees charged on the assets it oversees, plus performance fees called "carried interest" when investments generate profits. The firm operates globally across North America, Europe, and Asia, managing roughly $440 billion in assets as of recent periods. Its main competitive advantage is its long track record, deep industry relationships, and brand recognition among institutional investors. The key risk is that rising interest rates or a weak deal environment can reduce new fundraising and slow the profitable exits that drive carried interest revenue.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

-28.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Revenue declining

EPS Growth

-57.3% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Earnings declining

Insider Activity

100.0%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Runway

~14 months

$1.3B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↓ Burn rate worsening

Adequate runway but may need to raise capital within 2 years

Revenue declining

The Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061's revenue is actually shrinking. In a growth stock, that removes the core investment thesis. The low Winston Score here may be warranted — unless there's a turnaround story.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
0.0%
Thin — 0.0% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
0.0%
Thin — 0.0% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
1.2%
Weak — 1.2% return on capital

ROIC between 0% and 5%. They earn a few cents back per dollar invested in the business.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-41.9%
Shrinking sales (-41.9% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
+53.0%
Earnings growing fast (+53.0% YoY)

Earnings growing 25%+ a year. The compounder zone.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
4/8 quarters
Earnings inconsistent quarter-to-quarter

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
98%
Turns 98% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
6.4%
Modest free cash flow (6.4%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
N/A
Data not available
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
0.13x
Dangerous — barely covers interest (0.1x)

Interest coverage below 1. Their profits don't cover the interest bill.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
48.8x
no trend
Expensive — P/E 48.8

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
N/A
not available
Data not available

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.81%
no trend
Moderate income — 2.81% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
+0.0%
no trend
Dividend flat

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