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The Home Depot

HDI.DE
42
Home Improvement · Consumer Cyclical
Price
€288.00
-0.60 (-0.21%)
Market Cap
€287.17B
Exchange
Frankfurt Stock Exchange
Winston Score
42
Winston is serious
Mixed quality — meaningful strengths and weaknesses.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jul 31, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Good
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Mixed
Valuation
Mixed
Dividends
Mixed

Share count falling — buybacks

6.0% over 4y

The company has reduced its share count over this period, returning value to shareholders through buybacks.

Diluted shares outstanding: 1.06B (2022) → 995.0M (2026)

Winston Score History

The full picture

Home Depot is the largest home improvement retailer in the world. It sells tools, lumber, appliances, paint, plumbing supplies, and thousands of other products used to build, fix, or upgrade homes. Its customers include everyday homeowners doing weekend projects as well as professional contractors who rely on the stores daily.

The company makes money by selling products directly in its roughly 2,300 physical stores, mostly across the United States, Canada, and Mexico, with the U.S. accounting for the large majority of sales. Its moat comes from its massive store network, strong supplier relationships, and deep loyalty among professional contractors, who tend to spend far more per visit than casual shoppers. The main risk is that Home Depot's sales are tied closely to the housing market — when people stop buying or renovating homes, as seen during periods of high interest rates, revenue tends to slow down.

Growth Profile

When traditional metrics don't capture the full picture, these are the signals growth stock investors use instead.

Revenue Growth

+5.8% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow revenue growth

EPS Growth

+4.6% YoY

YoY Growth Rate

Slow EPS growth

R&D Spend

$0/ year

0.0% of revenue

Below sector average (4%)

Research and development spending

Insider Activity

0.2%ownership

Flat

Insider ownership roughly steady over the past year

Cash Position

Cash flow positive

$2.1B cash & investments

Quarterly Free Cash Flow

↑ Burn rate improving

Company generates more cash than it spends — no dilution risk from fundraising

Growth context

The Home Depot is growing revenue at 6% year-over-year. The Winston Score measures business quality today — these growth metrics show what could matter tomorrow.

The Winston Score above measures business quality today. Growth stocks often score lower because they invest in the future rather than maximising current profits. These metrics show what matters most for evaluating that future.

Score breakdown

Every number that matters to educated investors.

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
31.9%
Modest — 31.9% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
14.3%
Healthy — 14.3% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
29.6%
Exceptional — 29.6% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
+2.5%
Nearly flat sales (+2.5% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-2.8%
Earnings shrinking (-2.8% YoY)

Slight earnings drop. Typical near a cyclical low.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
132%
Turns 132% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
8.9%
Modest free cash flow (8.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
3.27
Heavy debt load (3.27)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
8.70x
Comfortably covers interest (8.7x)

Interest coverage above 8. Profits cover interest many times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
20.1x
Growth-priced — P/E 20.1

P/E above the market average. People are paying up for expected growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+0.6
GROWING
Earnings roughly flat

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
2.63%
Moderate income — 2.63% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
-2.8%
Dividend cut (-2.8% YoY) — warning sign

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