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The Lottery Corporation Limited

TLC.AX
56
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos · Consumer Cyclical
Exchange
Australian Securities Exchange
Winston Score
56
Winston is curious
A decent business — some strong pillars, some weaker.
Data as of Aug 23, 2026 · filings through Jun 30, 2026
How the score breaks down
Quality
Exceptional
Growth
Weak
Cash Flow
Strong
Stability
Strong
Valuation
Good
Dividends
Mixed

Winston Score History

The full picture

The Lottery Corporation Limited runs government-authorized lotteries and Keno games across Australia. Its main products include well-known lottery brands like Oz Lotto, Powerball, and Saturday Lotto, which are sold to everyday consumers through retail stores, newsagents, and its own digital app. It is the largest lottery operator in Australia and holds long-term exclusive licenses granted by state governments.

The company earns money by taking a share of ticket sales revenue, keeping a portion after paying out prizes, retailer commissions, and government taxes. It operates primarily in Australia, with a strong and growing online channel that now accounts for a significant share of total sales. Its biggest competitive advantage is those government-issued exclusive licenses, which block new competitors from entering the market. The main risk is that license renewals could come with tighter terms or higher fees, and any shift in consumer attitudes toward gambling could reduce ticket sales over time.

Score breakdown

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Quality

Profit per sale
Gross Margin
77.4%
Premium pricing power — 77.4% gross margin
Profit after running costs
Operating Margin
15.8%
Healthy — 15.8% operating margin
Return on the money invested
ROCE
207.8%
Exceptional — 207.8% return on capital

ROIC above 25%. Every dollar invested in the business earns more than 25 cents back per year.

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Growth

Sales growth
Sales YoY
-5.0%
Shrinking sales (-5.0% YoY)
Profit growth
EPS YoY
-22.2%
Earnings shrinking (-22.2% YoY)

Earnings per share down more than 10%. Either a bad year, or a real decline.

How steady the profit is
EPS Consistency
2/8 quarters
Earnings rarely grow — volatile business

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Cash Flow

Profit that turns into cash
Cash Conversion
148%
Turns 148% of profit into real cash
Spare cash per sale
FCF Margin
8.9%
Modest free cash flow (8.9%)

FCF margin between 0% and 10%. Some cash from sales, but not a lot.

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Stability

What it owes vs what it owns
Debt / Equity
0.05
Conservative — low debt load (0.05)
Covers its interest
Interest Cover
4.31x
Adequate interest coverage (4.3x)

Interest coverage between 3 and 8. Profits cover interest several times over.

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Valuation

Price vs profit
P/E Ratio (TTM)
40.7x
no trend
Pricey — P/E 40.7

P/E over 35. The market is pricing in heavy, sustained growth.

Cheaper or dearer next year
P/E vs Forward
+11.0
GROWING
Earnings expected to grow meaningfully — cheaper on forward P/E (40.7 → 29.7)

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Dividends

Dividend
Dividend Yield
3.02%
no trend
Moderate income — 3.02% yield

Standard yield zone for stable dividend payers. A meaningful piece of total return.

Dividend record
Dividend Growth
N/A
no trend
Data not available

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